Aufsatz
Agricultural Production and Yield Estimation: Two distinctive aspects of Brazilian Agriculture and a perspective on world food problems
Abstract
Brazil has been increasing its importance in agricultural markets. The reasons are well known to be the relative abundance of land, the increasing technology used in crops, and the development of the agribusiness sector which allow for a fast response to price stimuli. The elasticity of acreage response to increases in expected return is estimated for Soybeans in a dynamic (long term) error correction model. Regarding yield patterns, a large variation in the yearly rates of growth in yield is observed, climate being probably the main source of this variation which result in ‘good’ and ‘bad’ years. In South America, special attention should be given to the El Niño and La Niña phenomena, both said to have important effects on rainfalls patterns and consequently in yield. The influence on El Niño and La Niña in historical data is examined and some ways of estimating the impact of climate on yield of Soybean and Corn markets are proposed. Possible implications of climate change may apply.
Citation
@article{urn:nbn:de:hebis:34-2014021145049,
author={Bardal, Diogo},
title={Agricultural Production and Yield Estimation: Two distinctive aspects of Brazilian Agriculture and a perspective on world food problems},
year={2013}
}
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<resource xsi:schemaLocation="http://datacite.org/schema/kernel-2.2 http://schema.datacite.org/meta/kernel-2.2/metadata.xsd"> 2014-02-11T11:53:14Z 2014-02-11T11:53:14Z 2013-12-20 2197-411X urn:nbn:de:hebis:34-2014021145049 http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/2014021145049 eng Department of Organic Food Quality and Food Culture at the University of Kassel, Germany and Federation of German Scientists (VDW) Urheberrechtlich geschützt https://rightsstatements.org/page/InC/1.0/ Soybean Corn Land Elasticity El Niño Yield Estimation Brazil 630 Agricultural Production and Yield Estimation: Two distinctive aspects of Brazilian Agriculture and a perspective on world food problems Aufsatz Brazil has been increasing its importance in agricultural markets. The reasons are well known to be the relative abundance of land, the increasing technology used in crops, and the development of the agribusiness sector which allow for a fast response to price stimuli. The elasticity of acreage response to increases in expected return is estimated for Soybeans in a dynamic (long term) error correction model. Regarding yield patterns, a large variation in the yearly rates of growth in yield is observed, climate being probably the main source of this variation which result in ‘good’ and ‘bad’ years. In South America, special attention should be given to the El Niño and La Niña phenomena, both said to have important effects on rainfalls patterns and consequently in yield. The influence on El Niño and La Niña in historical data is examined and some ways of estimating the impact of climate on yield of Soybean and Corn markets are proposed. Possible implications of climate change may apply. open access In: Future of Food: Journal on Food, Agriculture and Society. Witzenhausen : University of Kassel, Department of Organic Food Quality and Food Culture. - Vol. 1, No. 2 (2013), S. 6-17 Bardal, Diogo </resource>
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