Agricultural Development and Land Use Change in India: A Scenario Analysis of Trade‐Offs Between UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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dc.date.accessioned2020-09-16T09:07:13Z
dc.date.available2020-09-16T09:07:13Z
dc.date.issued2020-01-15
dc.description.sponsorshipGefördert durch den Publikationsfonds der Universität Kasselger
dc.identifierdoi:10.17170/kobra-202009111792
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/11817
dc.language.isoengeng
dc.relation.doidoi:10.1029/2019EF001287
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/*
dc.subjectSDGseng
dc.subjectland use changeeng
dc.subjectIndiaeng
dc.subjectbiodiversityeng
dc.subjectcarbon sequestrationeng
dc.subjectagricultural developmenteng
dc.subject.ddc630
dc.subject.swdIndienger
dc.subject.swdErnährungssicherungger
dc.subject.swdPolitisches Programmger
dc.subject.swdLandnutzungger
dc.subject.swdNutzungsänderungger
dc.subject.swdBiodiversitätger
dc.subject.swdSequestrierungger
dc.subject.swdLandwirtschaftsentwicklungger
dc.subject.swdKlimaänderungger
dc.titleAgricultural Development and Land Use Change in India: A Scenario Analysis of Trade‐Offs Between UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)eng
dc.typeAufsatz
dc.type.versionpublishedVersion
dcterms.abstractIndia has the second largest population in the world and is characterized by a broad diversity in climate, topography, flora, fauna, land use, and socioeconomic conditions. To help ensure food security in the future, agricultural systems will have to respond to global change drivers such as population growth, changing dietary habits, and climate change. However, alterations of how food is produced in the future may conflict with other UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), such as the protection of land resources and climate change mitigation. It is crucial for decision‐makers to understand potential trade‐offs between these goals to find a balance of human needs and environmental impacts. In this paper, we analyze pathways of agricultural productivity, land use, and land‐cover changes in India until 2030 and their impacts on terrestrial biodiversity and carbon storage. The results show that in order to meet future food production demands, agricultural lands are likely to expand, and existing farmlands need to be intensified. However, both processes will result in biodiversity losses. At the same time, the projections reveal carbon stock increases due to intensification processes and decreases due to conversions of natural land into agriculture. On balance, we find that carbon stocks increase with the scenarios of future agricultural productivity as modeled here. In conclusion, we regard further agricultural intensification as a crucial element to help ensure food security and to slow down the expansion of cropland and pasture. At the same time, policies are required to implement this intensification in a way that minimizes biodiversity losses.eng
dcterms.accessRightsopen access
dcterms.creatorHinz, Roman
dcterms.creatorSulser, Timothy B.
dcterms.creatorHüfner, Rebekka
dcterms.creatorMason-D'Croz, Daniel
dcterms.creatorDunston, Shahnila
dcterms.creatorNautiyal, Sunil
dcterms.creatorRingler, Claudia
dcterms.creatorSchüngel, Jan
dcterms.creatorTikhile, Pavan
dcterms.creatorWimmer, Florian
dcterms.creatorSchaldach, Rüdiger
dcterms.source.identifierEISSN 2328-4277
dcterms.source.issueIssue 2
dcterms.source.journalEarth’s Futureeng
dcterms.source.pageinfoe2019EF001287
dcterms.source.volumeVolume 8
kup.iskupfalse

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