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Datum
2020-01-15Autor
Hinz, RomanSulser, Timothy B.Hüfner, RebekkaMason-D'Croz, DanielDunston, ShahnilaNautiyal, SunilRingler, ClaudiaSchüngel, JanTikhile, PavanWimmer, FlorianSchaldach, RüdigerSchlagwort
630 Landwirtschaft, Veterinärmedizin IndienErnährungssicherungPolitisches ProgrammLandnutzungNutzungsänderungBiodiversitätSequestrierungLandwirtschaftsentwicklungKlimaänderungMetadata
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Aufsatz
Agricultural Development and Land Use Change in India: A Scenario Analysis of Trade‐Offs Between UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
Zusammenfassung
India has the second largest population in the world and is characterized by a broad diversity in climate, topography, flora, fauna, land use, and socioeconomic conditions. To help ensure food security in the future, agricultural systems will have to respond to global change drivers such as population growth, changing dietary habits, and climate change. However, alterations of how food is produced in the future may conflict with other UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), such as the protection of land resources and climate change mitigation. It is crucial for decision‐makers to understand potential trade‐offs between these goals to find a balance of human needs and environmental impacts. In this paper, we analyze pathways of agricultural productivity, land use, and land‐cover changes in India until 2030 and their impacts on terrestrial biodiversity and carbon storage. The results show that in order to meet future food production demands, agricultural lands are likely to expand, and existing farmlands need to be intensified. However, both processes will result in biodiversity losses. At the same time, the projections reveal carbon stock increases due to intensification processes and decreases due to conversions of natural land into agriculture. On balance, we find that carbon stocks increase with the scenarios of future agricultural productivity as modeled here. In conclusion, we regard further agricultural intensification as a crucial element to help ensure food security and to slow down the expansion of cropland and pasture. At the same time, policies are required to implement this intensification in a way that minimizes biodiversity losses.
Zitierform
In: Earth’s Future Volume 8 / Issue 2 (2020-01-15) , S. e2019EF001287 ; EISSN 2328-4277Förderhinweis
Gefördert durch den Publikationsfonds der Universität KasselZitieren
@article{doi:10.17170/kobra-202009111792,
author={Hinz, Roman and Sulser, Timothy B. and Hüfner, Rebekka and Mason-D'Croz, Daniel and Dunston, Shahnila and Nautiyal, Sunil and Ringler, Claudia and Schüngel, Jan and Tikhile, Pavan and Wimmer, Florian and Schaldach, Rüdiger},
title={Agricultural Development and Land Use Change in India: A Scenario Analysis of Trade‐Offs Between UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)},
journal={Earth’s Future},
year={2020}
}
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2020-09-16T09:07:13Z 2020-09-16T09:07:13Z 2020-01-15 doi:10.17170/kobra-202009111792 http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/11817 Gefördert durch den Publikationsfonds der Universität Kassel eng Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ SDGs land use change India biodiversity carbon sequestration agricultural development 630 Agricultural Development and Land Use Change in India: A Scenario Analysis of Trade‐Offs Between UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Aufsatz India has the second largest population in the world and is characterized by a broad diversity in climate, topography, flora, fauna, land use, and socioeconomic conditions. To help ensure food security in the future, agricultural systems will have to respond to global change drivers such as population growth, changing dietary habits, and climate change. However, alterations of how food is produced in the future may conflict with other UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), such as the protection of land resources and climate change mitigation. It is crucial for decision‐makers to understand potential trade‐offs between these goals to find a balance of human needs and environmental impacts. In this paper, we analyze pathways of agricultural productivity, land use, and land‐cover changes in India until 2030 and their impacts on terrestrial biodiversity and carbon storage. The results show that in order to meet future food production demands, agricultural lands are likely to expand, and existing farmlands need to be intensified. However, both processes will result in biodiversity losses. At the same time, the projections reveal carbon stock increases due to intensification processes and decreases due to conversions of natural land into agriculture. On balance, we find that carbon stocks increase with the scenarios of future agricultural productivity as modeled here. In conclusion, we regard further agricultural intensification as a crucial element to help ensure food security and to slow down the expansion of cropland and pasture. At the same time, policies are required to implement this intensification in a way that minimizes biodiversity losses. open access Hinz, Roman Sulser, Timothy B. Hüfner, Rebekka Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Dunston, Shahnila Nautiyal, Sunil Ringler, Claudia Schüngel, Jan Tikhile, Pavan Wimmer, Florian Schaldach, Rüdiger doi:10.1029/2019EF001287 Indien Ernährungssicherung Politisches Programm Landnutzung Nutzungsänderung Biodiversität Sequestrierung Landwirtschaftsentwicklung Klimaänderung publishedVersion EISSN 2328-4277 Issue 2 Earth’s Future e2019EF001287 Volume 8 false
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